Stock Capitalist

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Technorati Tags: great depression ahead, Harry Dent, recession, US economy

Great artice by Chris Rowe. Based on this i’m lightening up a few of my bearish positions and hedging with some bullish ones.

“If you’re like me and just about every trader/investor I know in the market right now, you’ve been looking at one “false market signal” after another, one “whipsaw” after another, and one “head [...]

Last week, 11%of all stocks (net)on the New York Stock Exchange broke through support levels, putting them on sell signals.
I’ll make the importance of this event very simple.
All you have to understand is that, if a stock declines and breaks through a key level, the stock is much more likely to continue lower (because the [...]

Just a quick market caution… i received a report that as of yesterday morning the New York stock exchange bullish percent index has reversed to “O’s”, meaning that the sediment has changed from a “bullish” stance to a “bearish” stance and the bears have taken control of the market.
The last time this happened was in [...]

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Technorati Tags: great depression ahead, Harry Dent, harry dent updates, harry s dent, recession, Stock Trends, US economy

Important excerpt:
“Central banks may find themselves hiking into a weak recovery to quell asset prices, or they might compensate for the weakness in the interest rate and credit channels and allow asset prices to rise but risk inflating another bubble. Central banks could gain some much-needed flexibility by thinking outside the IT box – but [...]

We’ve got an extended economic adjustment ahead. Most probably far longer than most investors presently expect. As always, we’ll take our opportunities as the evidence emerges, with the objective of outperforming our respective benchmarks over the complete market cycle, and an additional emphasis on defending capital over the course of that cycle…..
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Enjoy!

Technorati Tags: gary-d-halbert, [...]

MARKET WARNING
This is not hype or sales pitch. It’s a FACT. The market could very easily — and probably will — (what every investor would have considered, by historical standards) crash! When we managed money on WallStreet through the ’90s and halfway through the 2000s, this is the kind of market we would lick our [...]

A very interesting article!
“Stability, though, as we were taught by Hyman Minsky, leads to instability. The more stable things become and the longer things are stable, the more unstable they will be when the crisis hits, because we human beings learned to trade and invest by dodging lions and chasing antelopes on the African savannah. [...]

Over the last year, the financial media has focused primarily on the major banks and their solvency issues. We have heard relatively little about the major insurance companies, which were not eligible to participate in federal bailout programs such as the TARP. As I will detail in the following pages, most of the major insurance [...]

Special thanks to Alan for forwarding me this article.
Excerpt: “Once again warnings and predictions are being put forth about the next crisis to befall us and this time round it behooves us to pay more attention and make sure this time that we are better positioned to survive and prosper whatever comes our way. Below [...]

“In many ways, Japans long deflation has been different from the United States in the 1930s. There have been no breadlines – or 25% unemployment.
Yet an 82% decline in the market over two decades is devastating even to investors with the longest time horizons. Bear in mind, this example excludes dividends. But still, this is [...]

Economic news continues to worsen week after week. As I will discuss below, Gross Domestic Product contracted at almost twice the previously reported pace in the 4Q of last year, and most analysts now expect a similar or worse slowdown in the 1Q. Many forecasters now believe the recession will last all year, with a [...]

“This week’s writer of the Outside the Box is no stranger to long time readers. Michael Lewitt writes the HCM Market Letter and is one of my favorite writers and truly deep thinkers. He has recently decided to turn his letter into a subscription based model and is meeting with some success, as he should. [...]

Here is an interesting article from our friends at www.investmentu.com. I prefer to wait for market confirmation before jumping in head first, but decide for yourself how you want to play this sector.
“Instead, business – and by extension, investing in businesses – is only about increasing profits, as Milton Friedman put it. And based on [...]